WaterColor Market Update: From Summer Slowdown to a Rare Neutral Market
Published December 2025 — Data through November 2025
(Single-Family Homes Only)
WaterColor quietly did something this fall that most of 30A hasn’t managed yet: it found balance.
After a very buyer-heavy summer, WaterColor’s single-family home market tightened steadily through early fall and officially landed in neutral market territory in November. That’s not a fluke — it’s the result of shrinking inventory, stronger sales, and buyers actually committing.
Here’s how we got here.
☀️ Summer 2025: Buyer’s Market, Loud and Clear
Back in June and July, WaterColor was firmly buyer-driven:
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Months of inventory sat at a staggering 17.3 in June and ballooned to 53 months in July due to extremely low sales volume.
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Inventory was climbing fast (up nearly 49% year-over-year in June), while sales were minimal — just 1 sale in July.
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Despite strong pricing per square foot, demand simply wasn’t matching supply.
Bottom line: summer buyers had patience, leverage, and choices.
🍂 Fall Shift: Inventory Tightens, Buyers Step In
By October, the tone had changed:
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Sales jumped 133% month-over-month (from 3 to 7 homes sold).
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Months of inventory dropped to 5.9, officially entering neutral market range (3–6 months).
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Median sold price began appreciating, and under-contract activity picked up meaningfully.
This wasn’t a price spike — it was a confidence shift. Buyers who had been waiting started moving.
📊 November 2025: Neutral Market Confirmed
November locked it in:
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9 homes sold, up 28.6% month-over-month and 28.6% year-over-year.
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Months of inventory (closed sales): 4.8, down 34.3% from last year — squarely neutral.
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Inventory fell 15.7% year-over-year, even as it ticked slightly up from October.
This is the kind of inventory compression sellers wait for — and buyers feel.
💰 Pricing Reality Check (and Why It’s Healthy)
Here’s where WaterColor stayed rational:
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Median sold price: $2.76M
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⬇️ from October
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⬆️ year-over-year
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Average sold price: $2.85M (down month-over-month)
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Price per square foot: $1,018
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⬆️ 6.3% month-over-month
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⬆️ 6.7% year-over-year
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Prices adjusted without collapsing — exactly what you want to see in a luxury neighborhood finding equilibrium.
⏳ Homes Still Take Time (But They’re Moving)
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Days on market: 115
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Sale-to-list price ratio: 92%, up from October
Buyers are negotiating — but they’re no longer stalling indefinitely.
🔑 The Takeaway
WaterColor didn’t bounce — it rebalanced.
While much of 30A remains buyer-leaning, WaterColor single-family homes have transitioned into a true neutral market:
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Inventory is tighter
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Sales are stronger
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Pricing is more stable
That combination is rare right now — and worth paying attention to.
🏡 Thinking About WaterColor?
Whether you’re considering selling into a neutral market (smart) or buying before leverage tightens further, strategy matters more here than anywhere else on 30A.
📞 850-517-6170
📧 [email protected]
🌐 30ALifestyleAgent.com
Source: Emerald Coast Association of Realtors — WaterColor SFH reports published July, August, November, and December 2025 (data through June–November 2025).
